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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Chestnut Oak Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 13139000704 · Hall County, GA · pop 3,074 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 13139000704 covers Chestnut Oak Hills in Gainesville, home to 3,074 residents. For landlords it grades 6.1/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $838 monthly, set against $79,947 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 9% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units864
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$79,947

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Chestnut Oak Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 26 tracts In Gainesville
Moderate
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#15 of 50 tracts In Hall County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#864 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 34.2726, -83.7475 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chestnut Oak Hills scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$838 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9

How Chestnut Oak Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chestnut Oak Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 000704Gainesville: 2.32.3Gainesvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Oak Hills

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hall County average of 5.6 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13139000704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139000704?

Census tract 13139000704 in the Chestnut Oak Hills neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13139000704?

Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13139000704?

17.8% of residents in tract 13139000704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,074.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13139000704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 68th, minority 76th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 13139000704 considered part of Chestnut Oak Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139000704 fall within Chestnut Oak Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 13139000704 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 13139000704 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 13139000704 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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