Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Oak Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville
Tract 13139000704 ·
Hall County, GA · pop 3,074 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 13139000704 covers part of the Chestnut Oak Hills area of Gainesville, GA, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Hall County average of 44.6%.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 9%Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units864
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$79,947
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Chestnut Oak Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
52th percentile
#13 of 26 tracts In Gainesville
Moderate
Within county
74th percentile
#14 of 50 tracts In Hall County
Elevated
Within state
79th percentile
#602 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 34.2726, -83.7475 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Oak Hills scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$838 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
How Chestnut Oak Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
74%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
23.9%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
29.9%Food insecurity
21.1%SNAP enrollment
14.0%Transit barriers
28.2%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
35.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Oak Hills
37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Average gross rent is $838, 35% below the Gainesville average.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 29.9% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Hall County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10.
Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $79,947, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 13139000704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139000704?
Census tract 13139000704 in the Chestnut Oak Hills neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13139000704?
Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13139000704?
17.8% of residents in tract 13139000704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,074.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13139000704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 68th, minority 76th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 13139000704 considered part of Chestnut Oak Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139000704 fall within Chestnut Oak Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13139000704 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13139000704 compare to Gainesville overall?
Tract 13139000704 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.