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Neighborhood · Gainesville, GA

Chestnut Oak Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,074 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Chestnut Oak Hills maps to a single census tract in Gainesville, GA and houses 3,074 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Gainesville baseline of 34.5%, roughly two in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.

At $838 a month, rents sit 35% under what the rest of Gainesville commands. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1/10.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 29.9% of adults, 12.1 points above the national rate.

The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That places it #10 of 21 neighborhoods in Gainesville.

Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

One tract means one number: 5.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut Oak Hills vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.5% +96%
Gainesville: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$838 -35%
Gainesville: $1,299
Average HH income
$79,947 +24%
Gainesville: $64,636
Poverty rate
17.8% -9%
Gainesville: 19.6%
Renter share
27.1% -55%
Gainesville: 60.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut Oak Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Chestnut Oak Hills scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Economic stress
17.8% below poverty line · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Chestnut Oak Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chestnut Oak Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Chestnut Oak HillsNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut Oak Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13139000704 5.1 3,074 68% $838
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chestnut Oak Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chestnut Oak Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Oak Hills?

Chestnut Oak Hills scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chestnut Oak Hills compare to Gainesville overall?

Chestnut Oak Hills scores 0.5 points higher than Gainesville overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $838 vs $1,299.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chestnut Oak Hills?

Average gross rent in Chestnut Oak Hills is $838/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chestnut Oak Hills residents are renters?

27% of Chestnut Oak Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 61% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 3,074 residents.
Q5

Is Chestnut Oak Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut Oak Hills sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chestnut Oak Hills for landlords?

Chestnut Oak Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Oak Hills?

Chestnut Oak Hills has 3,009 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut Oak Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut Oak Hills.

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