Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Tumlin Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville
Tract 13139001102 · Hall County, GA · pop 4,775 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 13139001102 (the Tumlin Heights neighborhood of Gainesville, Georgia) comes in at 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,319 a month against an average household income of $80,099 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units933
Renter share45.0%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$80,099
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 34.2650, -83.8564 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tumlin Heights scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,319 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
How Tumlin Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2003)
- 14Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.8%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 15.8%Transit barriers
- 40.5%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tumlin Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hall County average of 5.6 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 27.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 13139001102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139001102?
Census tract 13139001102 in the Tumlin Heights neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13139001102?
Median gross rent is $1,319/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13139001102?
17.6% of residents in tract 13139001102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,775.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13139001102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 76th, minority 91th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 13139001102 considered part of Tumlin Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139001102 fall within Tumlin Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13139001102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13139001102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.73% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13139001102 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13139001102 compare to Gainesville overall?
Tract 13139001102 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Rainbow Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Green Hills
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Tyner
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Wild Fern
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Westside
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13139001202
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Waterford
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Lanier Valley
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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