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Neighborhood · Gainesville, GA

Tumlin Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,775 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Tumlin Heights is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Gainesville with 1 census tract and a population of 4,775 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,319/month sits 2% higher than the Gainesville citywide average ($1,299).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Tumlin Heights vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +40%
Gainesville: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$1,319 +2%
Gainesville: $1,299
Average HH income
$80,099 +24%
Gainesville: $64,636
Poverty rate
17.6% -10%
Gainesville: 19.6%
Renter share
45.0% -26%
Gainesville: 60.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tumlin Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Tumlin Heights scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Economic stress
17.6% below poverty line · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Tumlin Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tumlin Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tumlin Heights: 4.54.5Tumlin HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.32.3Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Tumlin Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13139001102 4.5 4,775 48% $1,319
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tumlin Heights

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings (sum)
  • 4.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak year (2003)
  • 4.73%Latest filed (2003)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tumlin Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tumlin Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tumlin Heights?

Tumlin Heights scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tumlin Heights compare to Gainesville overall?

Tumlin Heights scores 2.2 points higher than Gainesville overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,319 vs $1,299.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tumlin Heights?

Average gross rent in Tumlin Heights is $1,319/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tumlin Heights residents are renters?

45% of Tumlin Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 61% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 4,775 residents.
Q5

Is Tumlin Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Tumlin Heights sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Tumlin Heights for landlords?

Tumlin Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Tumlin Heights?

Tumlin Heights has 4,439 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (82.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tumlin Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tumlin Heights.

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