Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003410 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,342 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

How risky is the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu for landlords? Census tract 15003003410 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 81st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,623 monthly, set against $71,601 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 36% Owners 25%

Tract context

Occupied units809

Renter share75.4%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate39.2%

Median income$71,601

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3038, -157.8384 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Mānoa scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

39.2% poverty · this tract

9.8

Supply constraint

$1,623 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Lower Mānoa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.4%Housing insecurity
11.6%Utility-shutoff threat
37.5%Food insecurity
31.6%SNAP enrollment
14.3%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
39.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is multiracial or other-race and Asian and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003410

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003410?

Census tract 15003003410 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003410?

Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003410?

39.2% of residents in tract 15003003410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,342.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 49th, minority 94th, housing 77th.

Is tract 15003003410 considered part of Lower Mānoa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003410 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003410 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003410 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003410 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.