Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Old Town Triangle Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031080400 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,888 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 17031080400 sits in the Old Town Triangle area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 4,888. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,273
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate27.7%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9074, -87.6409 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Town Triangle scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
27.7% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$819 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Old Town Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,507Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2002)
- 84Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.2%Food insecurity
- 29.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.4%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Town Triangle
At $819 a month, rents run 43% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 28.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 22.7% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 1,507 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 12.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031080400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031080400?
Census tract 17031080400 in the Old Town Triangle neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031080400?
Median gross rent is $819/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031080400?
27.7% of residents in tract 17031080400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,888.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031080400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 57th, minority 78th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 17031080400 considered part of Old Town Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031080400 fall within Old Town Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031080400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,507 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031080400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.00% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031080400 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031080400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031080400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031080400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Schorsch
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
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