Within neighborhood
86
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Schorsch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031151200 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,057 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 17031151200 covers part of the Schorsch area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,303
Renter share17.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$92,201
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9422, -87.7715 · click any tract to drill in
Why Schorsch scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,329 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Schorsch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 85%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 123Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2013)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Schorsch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Schorsch
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 123 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 5.8% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $92,201, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031151200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031151200?
Census tract 17031151200 in the Schorsch neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031151200?
Median gross rent is $1,329/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031151200?
12.3% of residents in tract 17031151200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,057.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031151200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 48th, minority 67th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 17031151200 considered part of Schorsch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031151200 fall within Schorsch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031151200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031151200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.28% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031151200 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031151200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031151200 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031151200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr West
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Princeton Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ellsworth
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Corwith
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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