Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Palmer Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031221400 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 3,083 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 17031221400 in the Palmer Square area of Chicago, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $2,099, 46% above the Chicago average.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 33%Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share65.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$108,789
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
14th percentile
#7 of 8 tracts In Palmer Square
Very Low
Within parent city
19th percentile
#643 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very Low
Within county
38th percentile
#823 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
65th percentile
#1,130 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9208, -87.6945 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmer Square scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,099 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Palmer Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
47%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
4%Grade C
96%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
204Total filings over 15 yrs
1.85%Avg annual filing rate
3.8%Peak (2001)
6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings dropped 77% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palmer Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.0%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palmer Square
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The voucher gap is 19.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 204 filings here across 15 tracked years. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 3.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031221400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031221400?
Census tract 17031221400 in the Palmer Square neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031221400?
Median gross rent is $2,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031221400?
8.0% of residents in tract 17031221400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,083.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031221400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 3th, minority 66th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 17031221400 considered part of Palmer Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031221400 fall within Palmer Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031221400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 204 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031221400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.85% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031221400 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031221400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031221400 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031221400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 96% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.