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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Brainerd Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031730201 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,671 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 17031730201 covers part of the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,671 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 29% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,124
Renter share54.0%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$61,432

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Brainerd
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#397 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#441 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#476 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7269, -87.6579 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brainerd scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,074 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Brainerd compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brainerd risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 730201Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,133Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 7.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.2%Peak (2002)
  • 78Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170317302012001: 107 filings (14.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 123 filings (16.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 94 filings (12.37/100 renter HHs)2004: 74 filings (9.73/100 renter HHs)2005: 67 filings (7.63/100 renter HHs)2006: 56 filings (6.38/100 renter HHs)2007: 54 filings (6.15/100 renter HHs)2008: 66 filings (7.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 59 filings (6.72/100 renter HHs)2010: 53 filings (3.93/100 renter HHs)2011: 59 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2012: 77 filings (5.53/100 renter HHs)2013: 78 filings (5.60/100 renter HHs)2014: 88 filings (6.32/100 renter HHs)2015: 78 filings (5.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brainerd

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. At $1,074 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

SNAP participation runs 28.9% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Housing insecurity runs 25.1% against 14.2% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,133 filings here across 15 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 16.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031730201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031730201?

Census tract 17031730201 in the Brainerd neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031730201?

Median gross rent is $1,074/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031730201?

12.5% of residents in tract 17031730201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,671.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031730201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 22th, minority 97th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 17031730201 considered part of Brainerd?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031730201 fall within Brainerd (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031730201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,133 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031730201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.87% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031730201 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031730201 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031730201 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031730201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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