Brainerd Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031730201 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,671 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031730201 covers part of the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,671 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7269, -87.6579 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brainerd scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Brainerd compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 78%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,133Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.2%Peak (2002)
- 78Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.1%Housing insecurity
- 16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.5%Food insecurity
- 28.9%SNAP enrollment
- 13.9%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Brainerd
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. At $1,074 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
SNAP participation runs 28.9% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Housing insecurity runs 25.1% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,133 filings here across 15 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 16.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 17031730201
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031730201?
What is the average rent in tract 17031730201?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031730201?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031730201?
Is tract 17031730201 considered part of Brainerd?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031730201?
What share of households in tract 17031730201 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17031730201 compare to Chicago overall?
Was tract 17031730201 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.