Within neighborhood
88
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Brainerd Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031711400 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,728 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 17031711400 covers part of the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,728. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units878
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$59,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7337, -87.6521 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brainerd scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,060 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Brainerd compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 54%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 277Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2015)
- 30Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 58% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.7%Housing insecurity
- 16.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.8%Food insecurity
- 30.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brainerd
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
It sits 1.9 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 30.7% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,060 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 277 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2015, when 11.1% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031711400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031711400?
Census tract 17031711400 in the Brainerd neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031711400?
Median gross rent is $1,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031711400?
19.9% of residents in tract 17031711400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,728.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031711400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 87th, minority 99th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 17031711400 considered part of Brainerd?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031711400 fall within Brainerd (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031711400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 277 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031711400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.20% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031711400 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031711400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031711400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031711400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 54% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Chicago Heights
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Haven
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Park Manor Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
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