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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Brainerd Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031730300 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,042 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 7.7/10, tract 17031730300 in the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 70% here against 45.6% across Cook County.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 7% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units354
Renter share23.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$45,278

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In Brainerd
High
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#327 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#362 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#375 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7275, -87.6646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brainerd scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$933 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Brainerd compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brainerd risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 730300Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 222Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 9.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak (2008)
  • 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170317303002001: 15 filings (10.87/100 renter HHs)2002: 13 filings (9.42/100 renter HHs)2003: 14 filings (10.14/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (4.35/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (10.29/100 renter HHs)2006: 12 filings (5.88/100 renter HHs)2007: 15 filings (7.35/100 renter HHs)2008: 35 filings (17.16/100 renter HHs)2009: 9 filings (4.41/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (11.67/100 renter HHs)2011: 11 filings (9.09/100 renter HHs)2012: 14 filings (11.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (15.70/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (12.40/100 renter HHs)2015: 9 filings (7.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brainerd

SNAP participation runs 41.0% against 15.2% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

At $933 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 29.9% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.6 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Court records carry 222 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2008, when 17.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031730300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031730300?

Census tract 17031730300 in the Brainerd neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031730300?

Median gross rent is $933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031730300?

15.6% of residents in tract 17031730300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,042.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031730300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 85th, minority 100th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 17031730300 considered part of Brainerd?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031730300 fall within Brainerd (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031730300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031730300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.85% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031730300 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031730300 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031730300 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031730300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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