Autumn Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora

At $2,156 a month, rents run 35% over what the rest of Aurora commands. The voucher gap is 22.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. It sits 1.2 points below the DuPage County average of 4.4.

Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the DuPage County average of 41.4%. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.2/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $161,181, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.