Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
South Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora
Tract 17089854100 · Kane County, IL · pop 4,565 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 17089854100 sits in the South Park area of Aurora eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 4,565. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,181
Renter share39.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$68,920
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aurora and the region
Centroid at 41.7395, -88.3234 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,415 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
How South Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 42%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 54Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2009)
- 18Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.4%Housing insecurity
- 15.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 29.9%SNAP enrollment
- 15.6%Transit barriers
- 28.8%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Park
Adults with no health insurance runs 28.8% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 45.5% across Kane County.
It sits 1.3 points above the Kane County average of 4.1. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3/10. The filing record is not thin: 54 evictions over 3 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,415, 11% below the Aurora average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 4.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17089854100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089854100?
Census tract 17089854100 in the South Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17089854100?
Median gross rent is $1,415/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17089854100?
14.4% of residents in tract 17089854100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,565.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17089854100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 73th, minority 87th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 17089854100 considered part of South Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089854100 fall within South Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089854100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089854100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.14% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17089854100 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17089854100 compare to Aurora overall?
Tract 17089854100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17089854100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aurora
Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Exposition View
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Marywood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
17089854700
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related