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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Elgin Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17089851301 · Kane County, IL · pop 3,648 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 17089851301 covers part of the Elgin Historic District area of Elgin, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,648 residents. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 21% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,144
Renter share49.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$70,221

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Elgin Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 25 tracts In Elgin
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 104 tracts In Kane County
High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elgin and the region

Centroid at 42.0371, -88.2731 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elgin Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elgin
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,171 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elgin
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elgin
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elgin
3.5

How Elgin Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elgin Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 851301Elgin: 4.04.0Elginparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 61Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak (2009)
  • 15Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170898513012009: 25 filings (5.38/100 renter HHs)2010: 21 filings (2.97/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (2.51/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elgin Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elgin Historic District

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Kane County average of 45.5%. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.7/10. Food insecurity runs 33.0% against 17.8% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Kane County average of 4.1. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 61 filings here across 3 tracked years.

At $1,171 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Elgin commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 5.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $70,221.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089851301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089851301?

Census tract 17089851301 in the Elgin Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089851301?

Median gross rent is $1,171/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089851301?

17.9% of residents in tract 17089851301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,648.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089851301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 88th, minority 86th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 17089851301 considered part of Elgin Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089851301 fall within Elgin Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089851301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089851301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.62% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17089851301 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17089851301 compare to Elgin overall?

Tract 17089851301 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elgin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elgin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elgin

Top eight tracts in Elgin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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