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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Elgin Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17089851302 · Kane County, IL · pop 3,341 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

17089851302 is a census tract in the Elgin Historic District area of Elgin, IL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Food insecurity runs 36.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 29% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units878
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$69,643

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Elgin Historic District
High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 25 tracts In Elgin
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 104 tracts In Kane County
High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elgin and the region

Centroid at 42.0458, -88.2764 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elgin Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elgin
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,518 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elgin
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elgin
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elgin
3.5

How Elgin Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elgin Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 851302Elgin: 4.04.0Elginparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 35Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 2.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2009)
  • 10Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170898513022009: 14 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (2.73/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (2.26/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elgin Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elgin Historic District

SNAP participation runs 30.9% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Kane County average of 45.5%. It sits 1.3 points above the Kane County average of 4.1.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 filings here across 3 tracked years. At $1,518 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Elgin commands.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 2.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Elgin eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $69,643.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089851302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089851302?

Census tract 17089851302 in the Elgin Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089851302?

Median gross rent is $1,518/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089851302?

16.1% of residents in tract 17089851302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,341.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089851302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 88th, minority 88th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 17089851302 considered part of Elgin Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089851302 fall within Elgin Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089851302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089851302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.45% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17089851302 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17089851302 compare to Elgin overall?

Tract 17089851302 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elgin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elgin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elgin

Top eight tracts in Elgin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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