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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

South Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora

Tract 17089854100 · Kane County, IL · pop 4,565 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17089854100 in South Park in Aurora ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,565 residents. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,415 a month against an average household income of $68,920 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 18% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,181
Renter share39.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$68,920

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In South Park
Moderate
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 41 tracts In Aurora
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 104 tracts In Kane County
High
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,924 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7395, -88.3234 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Park scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,415 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How South Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 854100Aurora: 4.24.2Auroraparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2009)
  • 18Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170898541002009: 22 filings (4.43/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Park

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kane County average of 5.3 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 42% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089854100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089854100?

Census tract 17089854100 in the South Park neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089854100?

Median gross rent is $1,415/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089854100?

14.4% of residents in tract 17089854100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,565.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089854100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 73th, minority 87th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 17089854100 considered part of South Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089854100 fall within South Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089854100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089854100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.14% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17089854100 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17089854100 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089854100 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17089854100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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