Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Prescott Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora
Tract 17093890104 ·
Kendall County, IL · pop 6,180 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
17093890104 is a census tract in the Prescott Mill area of Aurora, IL. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 13%Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,141
Renter share26.1%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$128,693
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Prescott Mill
Moderate
Within parent city
25th percentile
#31 of 41 tracts In Aurora
Low
Within county
40th percentile
#13 of 21 tracts In Kendall County
Moderate
Within state
28th percentile
#2,350 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aurora and the region
Centroid at 41.7175, -88.2755 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prescott Mill scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,869 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
How Prescott Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
22%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.2%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
20.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prescott Mill
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,869, 17% above the Aurora average. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Kendall County average of 47.0%. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $128,693, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Kendall County average of 4.1 closely. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17093890104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17093890104?
Census tract 17093890104 in the Prescott Mill neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17093890104?
Median gross rent is $1,869/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17093890104?
7.0% of residents in tract 17093890104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,180.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17093890104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 54th, minority 65th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 17093890104 considered part of Prescott Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17093890104 fall within Prescott Mill (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17093890104 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17093890104 compare to Aurora overall?
Tract 17093890104 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aurora
Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.