Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Vinegar Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167001400 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 940 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17167001400 in the Vinegar Hill area of Springfield, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 940 residents. Average gross rent is $510, 48% below the Springfield average.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 74% Owners 3%

Tract context

Occupied units550

Renter share96.7%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate37.6%

Median income$30,395

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7999, -89.6471 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vinegar Hill scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

37.6% poverty · this tract

9.4

Supply constraint

$510 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Vinegar Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

58%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
16%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vinegar Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.3%Housing insecurity
16.4%Utility-shutoff threat
30.1%Food insecurity
32.6%SNAP enrollment
15.8%Transit barriers
13.0%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
36.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vinegar Hill

Against Sangamon County at 38.5%, 24% of renters here are cost-burdened. 97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 32.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 30.1% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

It sits 1.2 points above the Sangamon County average of 4.2. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167001400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167001400?

Census tract 17167001400 in the Vinegar Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167001400?

Median gross rent is $510/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167001400?

37.6% of residents in tract 17167001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 940.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 5th, minority 64th, housing 92th.

Is tract 17167001400 considered part of Vinegar Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167001400 fall within Vinegar Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167001400 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167001400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.