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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Vinegar Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167001900 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 2,828 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

17167001900 is a census tract in the Vinegar Hill area of Springfield, IL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,828. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 36% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,450
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate26.5%
Median income$50,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Vinegar Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 39 tracts In Springfield
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 54 tracts In Sangamon County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7896, -89.6577 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vinegar Hill scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.5% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$722 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
4.0

How Vinegar Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vinegar Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0019004.0Springfieldparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vinegar Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vinegar Hill

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $722 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Springfield commands.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Sangamon County average of 4.2.

SNAP participation runs 23.0% against 15.2% nationally. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Sangamon County average of 38.5%.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $50,000, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167001900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167001900?

Census tract 17167001900 in the Vinegar Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17167001900?

Median gross rent is $722/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167001900?

26.5% of residents in tract 17167001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,828.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 25th, minority 36th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 17167001900 considered part of Vinegar Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167001900 fall within Vinegar Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17167001900 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17167001900 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167001900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17167001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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