Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Vinegar Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167001900 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 2,828 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 17167001900, home to 2,828 residents in the Vinegar Hill neighborhood of Springfield, scores 5.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 46% of US census tracts.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $722 monthly, set against $50,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 36% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units1,450

Renter share61.8%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate26.5%

Median income$50,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7896, -89.6577 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vinegar Hill scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

26.5% poverty · this tract

6.6

Supply constraint

$722 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Vinegar Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
59%Grade B
41%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vinegar Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.5%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
21.6%Food insecurity
23.0%SNAP enrollment
11.5%Transit barriers
9.2%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
31.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vinegar Hill

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167001900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167001900?

Census tract 17167001900 in the Vinegar Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167001900?

Median gross rent is $722/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167001900?

26.5% of residents in tract 17167001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,828.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 25th, minority 36th, housing 69th.

Is tract 17167001900 considered part of Vinegar Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167001900 fall within Vinegar Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167001900 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167001900 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167001900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.