Haven on Long Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora

At $2,188 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Aurora commands. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

The voucher gap is 24.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. Against the Will County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.4/10. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $146,707, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.