Haven on Long Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.2/10.

At $2,004 a month, rents sit 26% over what the rest of Aurora commands. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 4.2, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.

The voucher gap is 13.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. That places it #6 of 9 neighborhoods in Aurora. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Prescott Mill and Frontenac score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $118,357.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.