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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rockford

Tract 17201003300 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,050 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 17201003300 covers the Central Park area of Rockford, home to 4,050 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 57% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,126 monthly, set against $45,755 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 31% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,382
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate31.6%
Median income$45,755

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Central Park
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#11 of 54 tracts In Rockford
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#386 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2949, -89.1067 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.6% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,126 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How Central Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 003300Rockford: 4.24.2Rockfordparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201003300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003300?

Census tract 17201003300 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201003300?

Median gross rent is $1,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003300?

31.6% of residents in tract 17201003300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,050.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 97th, minority 82th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 17201003300 considered part of Central Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201003300 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201003300 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201003300 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201003300 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17201003300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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