Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

North Highland Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201001400 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,152 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 17201001400 covers part of the North Highland Square area of Rockford, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,152 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 24% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,730

Renter share51.8%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate21.5%

Median income$37,223

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2586, -89.0622 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Highland Square scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

21.5% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,037 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How North Highland Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
12%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
12%Grade B
61%Grade C
24%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Highland Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.6%Housing insecurity
18.4%Utility-shutoff threat
35.9%Food insecurity
38.5%SNAP enrollment
17.8%Transit barriers
17.6%No health insurance
23.1%Frequent mental distress
41.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Highland Square

SNAP participation runs 38.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 35.9% against 17.8% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $37,223 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Against Winnebago County at 44.4%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Winnebago County average of 4.3. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Rockford eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201001400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201001400?

Census tract 17201001400 in the North Highland Square neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201001400?

Median gross rent is $1,037/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201001400?

21.5% of residents in tract 17201001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,152.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 47th, minority 54th, housing 12th.

Is tract 17201001400 considered part of North Highland Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201001400 fall within North Highland Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17201001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201001400 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201001400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.