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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

North Highland Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201001500 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 5,280 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 17201001500 sits in the North Highland Square area of Rockford eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It is home to 5,280 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 18% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,253
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$47,420

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In North Highland Square
High
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 54 tracts In Rockford
Moderate
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Elevated
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#1,736 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2594, -89.0439 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Highland Square scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$849 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How North Highland Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Highland Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0015004.0Rockfordparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Highland Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Highland Square

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Against Winnebago County at 44.4%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened.

Average gross rent is $849, 14% below the Rockford average. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rockford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Winnebago County average of 4.3 closely.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $47,420. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201001500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201001500?

Census tract 17201001500 in the North Highland Square neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201001500?

Median gross rent is $849/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201001500?

15.5% of residents in tract 17201001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,280.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 99th, minority 60th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 17201001500 considered part of North Highland Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201001500 fall within North Highland Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201001500 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201001500 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201001500 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17201001500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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