Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201001700 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,956

Tract 17201001700 sits in Rockford eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 2,956 residents. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Winnebago County average of 44.4%.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 24% Owners 65%

Tract context

Occupied units1,213

Renter share34.9%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate15.0%

Median income$56,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2463, -89.0511 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

15.0% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$796 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
37%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
40%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.6%Housing insecurity
11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
23.1%Food insecurity
22.2%SNAP enrollment
11.6%Transit barriers
13.6%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
33.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

At $796 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Rockford commands. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. SNAP participation runs 22.2% against 15.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rockford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $56,083, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201001700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201001700?

Census tract 17201001700 in Rockford scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201001700?

Median gross rent is $796/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201001700?

15.0% of residents in tract 17201001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,956.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 37th, minority 69th, housing 40th.

What share of households in tract 17201001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201001700 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201001700 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.