Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

North Vale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201000513 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,073 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 17201000513 reflects conditions in North Vale in Rockford, Illinois. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,310 monthly, set against $69,808 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 11% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units1,632

Renter share22.8%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate17.9%

Median income$69,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2533, -88.9897 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Vale scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

17.9% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,310 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How North Vale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Vale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.8%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
13.4%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
36.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Vale

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201000513

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000513?

Census tract 17201000513 in the North Vale neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201000513?

Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000513?

17.9% of residents in tract 17201000513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,073.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 46th, minority 46th, housing 76th.

Is tract 17201000513 considered part of North Vale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000513 fall within North Vale (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17201000513 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201000513 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201000513 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.