Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

North Vale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201000513 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,073 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 17201000513 sits in the North Vale area of Rockford eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. Population here is 4,073. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 11% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units1,632

Renter share22.8%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate17.9%

Median income$69,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2533, -88.9897 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Vale scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

17.9% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,310 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How North Vale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Vale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.8%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
13.4%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
36.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Vale

At $1,310 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Rockford commands. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 44.4% across Winnebago County. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Winnebago County average of 4.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $69,808.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201000513

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000513?

Census tract 17201000513 in the North Vale neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201000513?

Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000513?

17.9% of residents in tract 17201000513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,073.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 46th, minority 46th, housing 76th.

Is tract 17201000513 considered part of North Vale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000513 fall within North Vale (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17201000513 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201000513 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201000513 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.