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Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Elkhart Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 18039001702 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 4,972 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Elkhart

For landlords sizing up Elkhart, census tract 18039001702 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #54,241 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,046 a month while the average household earns $46,438 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 24% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,245
Renter share38.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$46,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 20 tracts In Elkhart
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 45 tracts In Elkhart County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#476 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Elevated
National
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#35,899 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elkhart and the region

Centroid at 41.7099, -85.9608 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elkhart scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elkhart
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,046 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elkhart
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elkhart
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elkhart
7.3

How Elkhart compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elkhart risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 001702Elkhart: 2.32.3Elkhartparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elkhart

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elkhart eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and in line with the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039001702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039001702?

Census tract 18039001702 in Elkhart scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18039001702?

Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039001702?

14.5% of residents in tract 18039001702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,972.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039001702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 98th, minority 44th, housing 90th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 18039001702 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 18039001702 compare to Elkhart overall?

Tract 18039001702 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Elkhart at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elkhart eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elkhart

Top eight tracts in Elkhart ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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