River Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mishawaka

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10. Cost burden runs 48% here against 41.2% across St. Joseph County.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 filings here across 1 tracked years. It sits 0.8 points above the St. Joseph County average of 3.8. At $902 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of South Bend commands.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for South Bend. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.