Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Beaverdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines
Tract 19153000703 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,806 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 19153000703 in the Beaverdale area of Des Moines, IA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,806 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$76,904
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6226, -93.6668 · click any tract to drill in
Why Beaverdale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Beaverdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 57%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 138Total filings over 10 yrs
- 3.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.6%Peak (2011)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Beaverdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Beaverdale
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Polk County average of 42.0%. Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 138 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 17.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153000703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000703?
Census tract 19153000703 in the Beaverdale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153000703?
Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000703?
1.9% of residents in tract 19153000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,806.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 63th, minority 35th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 19153000703 considered part of Beaverdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000703 fall within Beaverdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 138 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.78% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153000703 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153000703 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153000703 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153000703 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Union Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol East
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Garton West
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Martin Luther King Jr. Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Highland Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Oak Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Indianola Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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