Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Beaverdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines

Tract 19153000703 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,806 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 19153000703 runs through Beaverdale in Des Moines. With 2,806 residents, it scores 4.8/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 32% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,143 monthly, set against $76,904 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$76,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Beaverdale
Very High
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Very Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#54 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#448 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.6226, -93.6668 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beaverdale scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Beaverdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beaverdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 000703Des Moines: 2.62.6Des Moinesparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 138Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 3.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.6%Peak (2011)
  • 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530007032006: 8 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2007: 6 filings (1.03/100 renter HHs)2008: 10 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 9 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (1.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 57 filings (17.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (6.48/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2014: 9 filings (2.78/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (1.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beaverdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beaverdale

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153000703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000703?

Census tract 19153000703 in the Beaverdale neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153000703?

Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000703?

1.9% of residents in tract 19153000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,806.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 63th, minority 35th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 19153000703 considered part of Beaverdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000703 fall within Beaverdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 138 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.78% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153000703 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153000703 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153000703 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153000703 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related