Eviction Risk in Lower Beaver , Des Moines
Tract 19153000702 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,770 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 19153000702 sits in the Lower Beaver neighborhood of Des Moines, Iowa. It has a population of 3,770 and an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). 41% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 7% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $757/month against a median household income of $74,803 — roughly 12% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 3,626 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 0.4%
- White (non-Hispanic) 64.7%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 23.2%
- Other / Multiracial 3.8%
How the 4.4/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.2 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.3 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.8 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 4.5 | Des Moines (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 1.0 | Des Moines (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 2.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 3.0 | Des Moines (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 2.5 | Des Moines (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.1 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.2 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 416Total filings over 10 yrs
- 14.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.2%Peak (2009)
- 28Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Beaver. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Dominant grade: C — definitely declining
Approximately 43% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Des Moines. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 24.8%C (Declining)
- 18.1%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 19153000702
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000702?
Census tract 19153000702 in the Lower Beaver neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 19153000702?
Median gross rent is $757/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000702?
4.2% of residents in tract 19153000702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,770.
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 85th, minority 57th, housing 38th.
Is tract 19153000702 considered part of Lower Beaver?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000702 fall within Lower Beaver (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 416 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.40% of renter households, peaking at 25.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 19153000702 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 19153000702 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is C (Definitely Declining). Roughly 18% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Des Moines. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.