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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Drake Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153002600 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,343 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 19153002600, home to 2,343 residents in the Drake Park neighborhood of Des Moines, scores 5.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $880 a month against an average household income of $43,778 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 32% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,171
Renter share74.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$43,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Drake Park
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5977, -93.6467 · click any tract to drill in

Why Drake Park scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$880 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Drake Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Drake Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 002600Des Moines: 2.62.6Des Moinesparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 716Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 10.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.4%Peak (2007)
  • 55Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530026002006: 95 filings (14.20/100 renter HHs)2007: 130 filings (19.43/100 renter HHs)2008: 80 filings (11.96/100 renter HHs)2009: 54 filings (8.07/100 renter HHs)2010: 36 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2011: 54 filings (8.37/100 renter HHs)2012: 75 filings (11.63/100 renter HHs)2013: 69 filings (10.70/100 renter HHs)2014: 68 filings (10.54/100 renter HHs)2015: 55 filings (8.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Drake Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 20% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153002600?

Census tract 19153002600 in the Drake Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153002600?

Median gross rent is $880/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153002600?

35.5% of residents in tract 19153002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,343.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 53th, minority 64th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 19153002600 considered part of Drake Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153002600 fall within Drake Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153002600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 716 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.89% of renter households, peaking at 19.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153002600 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153002600 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153002600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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