Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Drake Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153002600 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,343 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 19153002600 covers part of the Drake Park area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,343 residents. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,171
Renter share74.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$43,778
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5977, -93.6467 · click any tract to drill in
Why Drake Park scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$880 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Drake Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 74%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 20%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 716Total filings over 10 yrs
- 10.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.4%Peak (2007)
- 55Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.8%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.1%Food insecurity
- 28.1%SNAP enrollment
- 15.4%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 22.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Drake Park
57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Polk County average of 42.0%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.9/10.
This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
At $880 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Des Moines commands. Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 716 filings here across 10 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 21.8% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153002600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153002600?
Census tract 19153002600 in the Drake Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153002600?
Median gross rent is $880/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153002600?
35.5% of residents in tract 19153002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,343.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153002600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 53th, minority 64th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 19153002600 considered part of Drake Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153002600 fall within Drake Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153002600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 716 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.89% of renter households, peaking at 19.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153002600 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153002600 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153002600 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153002600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Pioneer Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
King Irving
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Western Gateway
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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