Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Sherman Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153002700 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,283 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
19153002700 is a census tract in the Sherman Hill area of Des Moines, IA. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,021
Renter share69.7%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate32.4%
Median income$48,140
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5905, -93.6451 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sherman Hill scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
32.4% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Sherman Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 65%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 856Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2006)
- 58Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.7%Food insecurity
- 20.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sherman Hill
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 52% here against 42.0% across Polk County.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Polk County average of 3.8.
Court records carry 856 eviction filings across 10 observed years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 13.3% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153002700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153002700?
Census tract 19153002700 in the Sherman Hill neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153002700?
Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153002700?
32.4% of residents in tract 19153002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,283.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153002700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 36th, minority 55th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 19153002700 considered part of Sherman Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153002700 fall within Sherman Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153002700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 856 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.89% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153002700 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153002700 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153002700 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153002700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Pioneer Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
King Irving
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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