Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
South Central DSM Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153004501 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,062 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 19153004501 sits in the South Central DSM area of Des Moines eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,381
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$58,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5445, -93.6113 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Central DSM scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$962 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How South Central DSM compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 843Total filings over 10 yrs
- 18.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.8%Peak (2015)
- 111Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 48% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.8%Food insecurity
- 25.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.9%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Central DSM
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Against Polk County at 42.0%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 25.0% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 843 filings here across 10 tracked years. At $962 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Des Moines commands.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 22.8% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153004501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004501?
Census tract 19153004501 in the South Central DSM neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153004501?
Median gross rent is $962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004501?
23.4% of residents in tract 19153004501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,062.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 79th, minority 61th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 19153004501 considered part of South Central DSM?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004501 fall within South Central DSM (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 843 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.79% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153004501 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153004501 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153004501 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153004501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
King Irving
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Pioneer Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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