Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Capitol East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153005200 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,153 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
19153005200 is a census tract in the Capitol East area of Des Moines, IA. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,153 residents. Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 42.0% across Polk County.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,172
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$54,535
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5844, -93.5919 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitol East scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Capitol East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 81%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 860Total filings over 10 yrs
- 15.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.4%Peak (2011)
- 109Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 47% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.9%Food insecurity
- 22.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 15.6%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 33.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitol East
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Polk County average of 3.8.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 860 filings here across 10 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 25.9% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 22.2% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when 20.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 15.6% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153005200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153005200?
Census tract 19153005200 in the Capitol East neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153005200?
Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153005200?
22.6% of residents in tract 19153005200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,153.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153005200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 93th, minority 70th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 19153005200 considered part of Capitol East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153005200 fall within Capitol East (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153005200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 860 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153005200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.62% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153005200 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153005200 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153005200 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153005200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Highland Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Martin Luther King Jr. Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Oak Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Avon Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Indianola Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
South Central DSM
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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