Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Laurel Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153005300 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,406 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 19153005300 sits in the Laurel Hill area of Des Moines eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 2,406 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units964
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$68,529
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5813, -93.5512 · click any tract to drill in
Why Laurel Hill scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Laurel Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 87%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 10 yrs
- 11.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.9%Peak (2007)
- 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.2%Food insecurity
- 22.6%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Laurel Hill
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Court records carry 286 eviction filings across 10 observed years. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Polk County average of 42.0%.
The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 22.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 25.2% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points above the Polk County average of 3.8. At $980 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Des Moines commands. Filings peaked in 2007 at 18.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153005300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153005300?
Census tract 19153005300 in the Laurel Hill neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153005300?
Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153005300?
17.0% of residents in tract 19153005300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,406.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153005300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 85th, minority 60th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 19153005300 considered part of Laurel Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153005300 fall within Laurel Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153005300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153005300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.64% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153005300 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153005300 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153005300 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153005300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 87% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Oak Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Avon Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Indianola Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
South Central DSM
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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