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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Laurel Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153005300 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,406 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.1/10 for census tract 19153005300 reflects conditions in the Laurel Hill neighborhood of Des Moines, Iowa. It lands near the 43rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $980 monthly, set against $68,529 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 11% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units964
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$68,529

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Laurel Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#180 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5813, -93.5512 · click any tract to drill in

Why Laurel Hill scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Laurel Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Laurel Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 005300Des Moines: 2.62.6Des Moinesparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 286Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 11.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.9%Peak (2007)
  • 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530053002006: 33 filings (14.47/100 renter HHs)2007: 43 filings (18.86/100 renter HHs)2008: 38 filings (16.67/100 renter HHs)2009: 32 filings (14.04/100 renter HHs)2010: 27 filings (9.75/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (6.79/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (7.92/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (8.68/100 renter HHs)2014: 26 filings (9.81/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (9.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Laurel Hill

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 87% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153005300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153005300?

Census tract 19153005300 in the Laurel Hill neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153005300?

Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153005300?

17.0% of residents in tract 19153005300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,406.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153005300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 85th, minority 60th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 19153005300 considered part of Laurel Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153005300 fall within Laurel Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153005300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153005300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.64% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153005300 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153005300 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153005300 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153005300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 87% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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