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Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 19155030800 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 3,399

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 19155030800 in Council Bluffs, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,399 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 9% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,364
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$68,924

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 22 tracts In Council Bluffs
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 30 tracts In Pottawattamie County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#236 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Elevated
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#45,786 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region

Centroid at 41.2422, -95.8588 · click any tract to drill in

Why Council Bluffs scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$984 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8

How Council Bluffs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Council Bluffs risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0308004.0Council Bluffsparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 56Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 6.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2013)
  • 14Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19155030800
Filings climbed 27% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Council Bluffs

Cost burden runs 56% here against 38.2% across Pottawattamie County. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 56 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 7.8% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19155030800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155030800?

Census tract 19155030800 in Council Bluffs scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19155030800?

Median gross rent is $984/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19155030800?

11.2% of residents in tract 19155030800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,399.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19155030800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 21th, minority 29th, housing 15th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155030800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155030800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.06% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19155030800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19155030800 compare to Council Bluffs overall?

Tract 19155030800 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Council Bluffs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 19155030800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 60% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs

Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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