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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 19155031400 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 3,973

19155031400 is a census tract in Council Bluffs, IA. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 24% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,437
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$71,101

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 22 tracts In Council Bluffs
Moderate
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 30 tracts In Pottawattamie County
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#260 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Elevated
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region

Centroid at 41.2018, -95.8882 · click any tract to drill in

Why Council Bluffs scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,115 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8

How Council Bluffs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Council Bluffs risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0314004.0Council Bluffsparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 64Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 2.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2012)
  • 11Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19155031400
Filings dropped 27% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Council Bluffs

Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.

Court records carry 64 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.3% of renter households were served.

At $1,115 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Council Bluffs commands. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

38% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 19155031400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155031400?

Census tract 19155031400 in Council Bluffs scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19155031400?

Median gross rent is $1,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19155031400?

10.7% of residents in tract 19155031400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19155031400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 89th, minority 38th, housing 57th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155031400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 64 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155031400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.57% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19155031400 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19155031400 compare to Council Bluffs overall?

Tract 19155031400 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Council Bluffs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs

Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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