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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111002402 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,062 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 21111002402 covers part of the Russell area of Louisville, KY, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,062. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Jefferson County average of 42.9%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 47% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,120
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$54,245

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Russell
High
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2533, -85.7808 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0024024.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $996, close to the Louisville average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111002402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111002402?

Census tract 21111002402 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111002402?

Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111002402?

26.6% of residents in tract 21111002402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,062.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111002402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 33th, minority 81th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 21111002402 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111002402 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21111002402 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111002402 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111002402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 92% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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