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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111011710 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,813

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 21111011710 in Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,813 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 22% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,214
Renter share38.1%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$85,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1030, -85.6421 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,320 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0117103.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 898Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 20.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 70.6%Peak (2002)
  • 52Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111011710
Filings dropped 63% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10. At $1,320 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Louisville commands.

Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 898 evictions over 14 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 70.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 20.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111011710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111011710?

Census tract 21111011710 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111011710?

Median gross rent is $1,320/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111011710?

29.9% of residents in tract 21111011710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,813.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111011710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 71th, minority 47th, housing 20th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111011710?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 898 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111011710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.84% of renter households, peaking at 70.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111011710 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111011710 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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