Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Grass Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville

Tract 21111010323 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,989 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Eviction risk in Orchard Grass Hills in Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) centers on tract 21111010323, which scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,989 residents. That is riskier than about 53% of US census tracts.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,367 a month while the average household earns $89,167 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 14% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,376

Renter share27.9%

SVI overall0.17

Poverty rate7.5%

Median income$89,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.3216, -85.5458 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Grass Hills scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

6.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

7.5% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,367 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

3.0

How Orchard Grass Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

37%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
28%Racial/ethnic minority
10%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orchard Grass Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Grass Hills

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111010323

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111010323?

Census tract 21111010323 in the Orchard Grass Hills neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111010323?

Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111010323?

7.5% of residents in tract 21111010323 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,989.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111010323?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 25th, minority 28th, housing 10th.

Is tract 21111010323 considered part of Orchard Grass Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111010323 fall within Orchard Grass Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21111010323 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111010323 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.