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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Grass Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville

Tract 21111010324 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 5,416 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 21111010324 covers part of the Orchard Grass Hills area of Louisville, KY, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,416 residents. 69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Jefferson County average of 42.9%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 9% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,829
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$75,806

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Orchard Grass Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#87 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#182 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#959 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.3109, -85.5270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Grass Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,418 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Orchard Grass Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard Grass Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0103243.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orchard Grass Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Grass Hills

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

At $1,418 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Louisville commands. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10.

Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $75,806.

29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111010324

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111010324?

Census tract 21111010324 in the Orchard Grass Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111010324?

Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111010324?

7.0% of residents in tract 21111010324 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,416.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111010324?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 60th, minority 69th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 21111010324 considered part of Orchard Grass Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111010324 fall within Orchard Grass Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21111010324 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111010324 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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