Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Grass Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville

Tract 21111010324 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 5,416 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Here is how census tract 21111010324, in the Orchard Grass Hills neighborhood of Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), looks to a landlord: a 5.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,416. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 69% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,418 a month while the average household earns $75,806 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 9% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units1,829

Renter share28.9%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate7.0%

Median income$75,806

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.3109, -85.5270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Grass Hills scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

6.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

7.0% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$1,418 rent vs county FMR

5.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

3.0

How Orchard Grass Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orchard Grass Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Grass Hills

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111010324

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111010324?

Census tract 21111010324 in the Orchard Grass Hills neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111010324?

Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111010324?

7.0% of residents in tract 21111010324 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,416.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111010324?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 60th, minority 69th, housing 30th.

Is tract 21111010324 considered part of Orchard Grass Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111010324 fall within Orchard Grass Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21111010324 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111010324 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.