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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012701 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,957 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Louisville

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 21111012701 in Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,957. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 27% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,714
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate49.8%
Median income$26,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2141, -85.8445 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
49.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$878 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0127013.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,309Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 24.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.5%Peak (2003)
  • 155Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111012701
Filings dropped 23% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 50%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 57% here against 42.9% across Jefferson County.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10. Set annual rent against average income of $26,167 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. At $878 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Louisville commands. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

The filing record is not thin: 2,309 evictions over 14 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2003, when 35.5% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 24.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012701?

Census tract 21111012701 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012701?

Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012701?

49.8% of residents in tract 21111012701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,957.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 100th, minority 83th, housing 61th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,309 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.73% of renter households, peaking at 35.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012701 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012701 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111012701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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