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Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012701 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,957 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Louisville

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 21111012701 (Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) in Jefferson County, Kentucky) comes in at 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #16,331 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $878 monthly, set against $26,167 in average yearly household income, roughly 40% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 27% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,714
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate49.8%
Median income$26,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#219 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,850 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2141, -85.8445 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
49.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$878 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 012701Louisville: 2.42.4Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,309Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 24.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.5%Peak (2003)
  • 155Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110127012002: 200 filings (30.77/100 renter HHs)2003: 231 filings (35.54/100 renter HHs)2004: 204 filings (31.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 193 filings (32.21/100 renter HHs)2006: 185 filings (30.87/100 renter HHs)2007: 134 filings (22.36/100 renter HHs)2008: 112 filings (18.69/100 renter HHs)2009: 99 filings (16.52/100 renter HHs)2010: 160 filings (25.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 146 filings (18.96/100 renter HHs)2012: 159 filings (20.65/100 renter HHs)2013: 172 filings (22.34/100 renter HHs)2014: 159 filings (20.65/100 renter HHs)2015: 155 filings (20.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 23% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 1% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012701?

Census tract 21111012701 in Louisville scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012701?

Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012701?

49.8% of residents in tract 21111012701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,957.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 100th, minority 83th, housing 61th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,309 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.73% of renter households, peaking at 35.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012701 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012701 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111012701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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