Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012205 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,845

Census tract 21111012205 covers Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) in Jefferson County, home to 1,845 residents. For landlords it grades 5.9/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

84% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,102 monthly, set against $40,417 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 7% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units659

Renter share44.9%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate27.7%

Median income$40,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1351, -85.7811 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

6.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

27.7% poverty · this tract

6.9

Supply constraint

$1,102 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

58%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012205

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012205?

Census tract 21111012205 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111012205?

Median gross rent is $1,102/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012205?

27.7% of residents in tract 21111012205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,845.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 99th, minority 59th, housing 32th.

How does tract 21111012205 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012205 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.