Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Saint Helena Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk

Tract 24005421000 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 1,962 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

24005421000 is a census tract in the Saint Helena area of Dundalk, MD. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

7.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 18% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,070

Renter share66.3%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate31.5%

Median income$24,628

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2609, -76.5274 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saint Helena scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dundalk

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

31.5% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$1,046 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dundalk

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dundalk

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dundalk

8.1

How Saint Helena compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
97%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Saint Helena. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.7%Housing insecurity
16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
33.8%Food insecurity
32.3%SNAP enrollment
16.2%Transit barriers
17.4%No health insurance
21.8%Frequent mental distress
41.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saint Helena

Cost burden runs 73% here against 46.8% across Baltimore County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $24,628 and the ratio lands at 51%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 2.1 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7.

SNAP participation runs 32.3% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,046 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Dundalk commands. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Housing insecurity runs 24.7% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005421000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005421000?

Census tract 24005421000 in the Saint Helena neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005421000?

Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005421000?

31.5% of residents in tract 24005421000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,962.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005421000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 97th, minority 56th, housing 45th.

Is tract 24005421000 considered part of Saint Helena?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005421000 fall within Saint Helena (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005421000 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005421000 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005421000 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24005421000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.