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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Saint Helena Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk

Tract 24005421000 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 1,962 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24005421000 runs through the Saint Helena neighborhood of Dundalk. With 1,962 residents, it scores 7.9/10 for landlords. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,046 a month while the average household earns $24,628 a year, roughly 51% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 18% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,070
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate31.5%
Median income$24,628

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Saint Helena
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 21 tracts In Dundalk
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#109 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2609, -76.5274 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saint Helena scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
31.5% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,046 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1

How Saint Helena compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saint Helena risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 421000Dundalk: 6.56.5Dundalkparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Saint Helena. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saint Helena

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005421000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005421000?

Census tract 24005421000 in the Saint Helena neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005421000?

Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005421000?

31.5% of residents in tract 24005421000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,962.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005421000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 97th, minority 56th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 24005421000 considered part of Saint Helena?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005421000 fall within Saint Helena (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005421000 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005421000 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005421000 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24005421000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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