Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Bright Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Air South

Tract 24025301106 · Harford County, MD · pop 4,771 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Bright Oaks neighborhood of Bel Air South, census tract 24025301106 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 57% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,461 monthly, set against $142,429 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 10% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units1,535

Renter share13.9%

SVI overall0.08

Poverty rate1.6%

Median income$142,429

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel Air South and the region

Centroid at 39.5021, -76.3171 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bright Oaks scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bel Air South

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

1.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,461 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bel Air South

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bel Air South

4.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bel Air South

4.2

How Bright Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

3%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.2%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
5.1%SNAP enrollment
4.6%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
21.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bright Oaks

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harford County average of 6.0 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 24025301106

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025301106?

Census tract 24025301106 in the Bright Oaks neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24025301106?

Median gross rent is $1,461/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24025301106?

1.6% of residents in tract 24025301106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,771.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24025301106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 17th, minority 38th, housing 27th.

Is tract 24025301106 considered part of Bright Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025301106 fall within Bright Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24025301106 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24025301106 compare to Bel Air South overall?

Tract 24025301106 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Bel Air South at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air South

Top eight tracts in Bel Air South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.