Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aspen Hill
Tract 24031701303 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,539 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
24031701303 is a census tract in the Sycamore Creek area of Aspen Hill, MD. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,539 residents. At $3,417 a month, rents run 78% over what the rest of Aspen Hill commands.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 3%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,358
Renter share3.2%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$194,038
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Sycamore Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
0th percentile
#10 of 10 tracts In Aspen Hill
Very Low
Within county
41th percentile
#137 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
58th percentile
#622 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region
Centroid at 39.1074, -77.0990 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sycamore Creek scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,417 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspen Hill
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspen Hill
6.5
How Sycamore Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
1%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sycamore Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.3%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
5.6%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
3.4%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
10.2%Frequent mental distress
19.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sycamore Creek
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 47.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, supply constraint reads 9.8/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $194,038.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701303?
Census tract 24031701303 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701303?
Median gross rent is $3,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701303?
2.7% of residents in tract 24031701303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,539.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 52th, minority 42th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701303 considered part of Sycamore Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701303 fall within Sycamore Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701303 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701303 compare to Aspen Hill overall?
Tract 24031701303 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill
Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.