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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aspen Hill

Tract 24031701303 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,539 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

24031701303 is a census tract in the Sycamore Creek area of Aspen Hill, MD. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,539 residents. At $3,417 a month, rents run 78% over what the rest of Aspen Hill commands.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 3% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,358
Renter share3.2%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$194,038

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Sycamore Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 10 tracts In Aspen Hill
Very Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#137 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#622 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region

Centroid at 39.1074, -77.0990 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sycamore Creek scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,417 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspen Hill
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspen Hill
6.5

How Sycamore Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sycamore Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 7013036.6Aspen Hillparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sycamore Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sycamore Creek

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 47.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, supply constraint reads 9.8/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $194,038.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031701303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701303?

Census tract 24031701303 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031701303?

Median gross rent is $3,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701303?

2.7% of residents in tract 24031701303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,539.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 52th, minority 42th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 24031701303 considered part of Sycamore Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701303 fall within Sycamore Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031701303 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031701303 compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Tract 24031701303 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill

Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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