Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Aspen Hill

Tract 24031701303 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,539 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 24031701303 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood of Aspen Hill ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,539 residents. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,417 a month against an average household income of $194,038 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 3% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 3% Owners 97%

Tract context

Occupied units1,358

Renter share3.2%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate2.7%

Median income$194,038

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region

Centroid at 39.1074, -77.0990 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sycamore Creek scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

2.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,417 rent vs county FMR

9.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aspen Hill

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aspen Hill

6.5

How Sycamore Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

1%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sycamore Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.3%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
5.6%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
3.4%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
10.2%Frequent mental distress
19.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sycamore Creek

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031701303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701303?

Census tract 24031701303 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031701303?

Median gross rent is $3,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701303?

2.7% of residents in tract 24031701303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,539.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 52th, minority 42th, housing 5th.

Is tract 24031701303 considered part of Sycamore Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701303 fall within Sycamore Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031701303 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031701303 compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Tract 24031701303 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill

Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.