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Neighborhood · Aspen Hill, MD

Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,031 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.7–5.9

Sycamore Creek is a 2-tract neighborhood of Aspen Hill, MD, population 10,031. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $3,471, 81% above the Aspen Hill average of $1,916.

The voucher gap is 50.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 9.9/10.

Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.2/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.

roughly one in four of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, below the Aspen Hill rate of 33.7%. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That places it #8 of 8 neighborhoods in Aspen Hill.

Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Allanwood and Aspen Knolls score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sycamore Creek vs Aspen Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.6% -21%
Aspen Hill: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$3,471 +81%
Aspen Hill: $1,916
Average HH income
$173,347 +59%
Aspen Hill: $109,026
Poverty rate
4.4% -50%
Aspen Hill: 8.8%
Renter share
11.2% -68%
Aspen Hill: 35.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sycamore Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.7–5.9

Why Sycamore Creek scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
11% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.8–10.0 across tracts
9.9
Risk score comparison

Sycamore Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sycamore Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8Sycamore CreekNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Sycamore Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031703202 5.9 6,492 41% $3,501
24031701303 5.7 3,539 0% $3,417
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sycamore Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sycamore Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sycamore Creek?

Sycamore Creek scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sycamore Creek compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Sycamore Creek scores 0.8 points lower than Aspen Hill overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,471 vs $1,916.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sycamore Creek?

Average gross rent in Sycamore Creek is $3,471/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sycamore Creek residents are renters?

11% of Sycamore Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Aspen Hill). The neighborhood has 10,031 residents.
Q5

Is Sycamore Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Sycamore Creek sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Sycamore Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sycamore Creek is census tract 24031703202 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.9, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Sycamore Creek for landlords?

Sycamore Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aspen Hill as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sycamore Creek?

Sycamore Creek has 9,823 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12%), Hispanic / Latino (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sycamore Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aspen Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sycamore Creek.

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