2 census tracts · pop 10,031 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.7–5.9
Sycamore Creek is a 2-tract neighborhood of Aspen Hill, MD, population 10,031. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $3,471, 81% above the Aspen Hill average of $1,916.
The voucher gap is 50.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 9.9/10.
Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.2/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.
roughly one in four of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, below the Aspen Hill rate of 33.7%. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That places it #8 of 8 neighborhoods in Aspen Hill.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Allanwood and Aspen Knolls score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sycamore Creek vs Aspen HillHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sycamore Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.9%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
4.6%SNAP enrollment
6.0%No health insurance
21.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Sycamore Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Sycamore Creek?
Sycamore Creek scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Sycamore Creek compare to Aspen Hill overall?
Sycamore Creek scores 0.8 points lower than Aspen Hill overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,471 vs $1,916.
Q3
What is the average rent in Sycamore Creek?
Average gross rent in Sycamore Creek is $3,471/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Sycamore Creek residents are renters?
11% of Sycamore Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Aspen Hill). The neighborhood has 10,031 residents.
Q5
Is Sycamore Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Sycamore Creek sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Sycamore Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Sycamore Creek is census tract 24031703202 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.9, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Sycamore Creek for landlords?
Sycamore Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aspen Hill as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Sycamore Creek?
Sycamore Creek has 9,823 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12%), Hispanic / Latino (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.