Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Aspen Hill
Tract 24031703202 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,492 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
For landlords sizing up the Sycamore Creek neighborhood of Aspen Hill, census tract 24031703202 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $162,067 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,041
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$162,067
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region
Centroid at 39.0952, -77.0938 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sycamore Creek scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspen Hill
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspen Hill
6.5
How Sycamore Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sycamore Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sycamore Creek
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703202?
Census tract 24031703202 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703202?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703202?
5.4% of residents in tract 24031703202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,492.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 95th, minority 51th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703202 considered part of Sycamore Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703202 fall within Sycamore Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703202 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703202 compare to Aspen Hill overall?
Tract 24031703202 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill
Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
English Manor
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Harmony Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Willson Hills
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Willson Hills
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Aspen Hill Park
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Wheaton Woods
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Aspen Knolls
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Sycamore Creek
2.4
/ 10 · Low
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