Downtown Bethesda Eviction Risk: Elevated

79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8/10. The voucher gap is 19.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.

At $2,769 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Bethesda commands. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.