Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Bethesda Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 24031704804 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,049 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 6.8/10, tract 24031704804 in the Downtown Bethesda neighborhood of Bethesda ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,049 residents. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,457 a month against an average household income of $132,027 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

1.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 34% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units1,250

Renter share62.3%

SVI overall0.18

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$132,027

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethesda and the region

Centroid at 38.9834, -77.0935 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Bethesda scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bethesda

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$2,457 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bethesda

5.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bethesda

7.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bethesda

4.2

How Downtown Bethesda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

9%Socioeconomic
14%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Bethesda. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.9%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.7%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
11.3%Frequent mental distress
17.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Bethesda

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031704804

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704804?

Census tract 24031704804 in the Downtown Bethesda neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031704804?

Median gross rent is $2,457/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704804?

6.2% of residents in tract 24031704804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,049.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 14th, minority 49th, housing 49th.

Is tract 24031704804 considered part of Downtown Bethesda?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704804 fall within Downtown Bethesda (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031704804 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031704804 compare to Bethesda overall?

Tract 24031704804 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda

Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.